Bitcoin’s 4-Year Cycle Says BTC Should Be at $150,000 by End of 2026
Key takeaways
- After the April 2024 halving, Bitcoin hit a $126,000 all-time high in October 2025—exactly inside that historical window.
- Standard Chartered and Bernstein both target $150,000 for Bitcoin by year-end, requiring a roughly 88% gain from current prices.
- BlackRock’s IBIT holds $66.9 billion in assets and commands 66% of the entire U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF market, which has crossed $106 billion in total AUM.
Bitcoin’s 4-Year Cycle Says BTC Should Be at $150,000 by End of 2026 Sam Daodu Mon, May 11, 2026 at 12:47 AM GMT+7 8 min read BTC-USD IBIT Quick Read Every Bitcoin halving since 2012 has produced a price peak 12 to 18 months later. After the April 2024 halving, Bitcoin hit a $126,000 all-time high in October 2025—exactly inside that historical window. BTC now trades around $80,000, about 37% below that peak.
Standard Chartered and Bernstein both target $150,000 for Bitcoin by year-end, requiring a roughly 88% gain from current prices. However, Fidelity’s Director of Global Macro Jurrien Timmer believes the October 2025 peak of $126,000 was the cycle top, making 2026 a “dormant year” with support around $65,000–$75,000.
BlackRock’s IBIT holds $66.9 billion in assets and commands 66% of the entire U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF market, which has crossed $106 billion in total AUM. Spot Bitcoin ETFs simply did not exist in any previous halving cycle, which is why this cycle could play out differently from the four before it.