AI Is Modeling Mega Storms With Surprising Accuracy

AI hurricane forecasts faced a first stress test in 2025: Hurricane Melissa, the strongest Category 5 hurricane in the modern era. AI models are trained on historical data, meaning a storm of this magnitude was not in the training set and potentially not predictable. The AI forecast captured Melissa’s rapid intensification roughly on par with NOAA’s official guidance, suggesting AI weather models may generalize to the extreme events that matter most for energy, infrastructure and insurance risk. For more, we speak with Ryan Ward, BloombergNEF Weather Associate. (Source: Bloomberg)