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Is the 2-Year Treasury at 4.09% Why Bitcoin (BTC) Can’t Break Out?
Key takeaways
- Is the 2-Year Treasury at 4.09% Why Bitcoin (BTC) Can’t Break Out?
- The surge in short-term yields to 4.09% is reinforcing tighter liquidity conditions, with markets increasingly pricing in delayed rate cuts and sustained higher for longer policy expectations.
- Until inflation expectations cool or the Fed signals a clearer pivot toward easing, Bitcoin is likely to remain range-bound, with Treasury markets effectively dictating short-term direction.
Is the 2-Year Treasury at 4.09% Why Bitcoin (BTC) Can’t Break Out? Sam Daodu Sun, May 17, 2026 at 3:26 AM GMT+7 5 min read BTC-USD Quick Read Bitcoin’s struggle to break above the $78,000-$82,000 range is increasingly tied to macro pressure, not just technical resistance, as rising U.S. Treasury yields tighten overall financial conditions.
The surge in short-term yields to 4.09% is reinforcing tighter liquidity conditions, with markets increasingly pricing in delayed rate cuts and sustained higher for longer policy expectations.
Until inflation expectations cool or the Fed signals a clearer pivot toward easing, Bitcoin is likely to remain range-bound, with Treasury markets effectively dictating short-term direction.
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