A humiliating stat suggests Brumbies, Reds face impossible finals mission

The Brumbies and Reds carry Australia's hopes in the Super Rugby Pacific finals. (Getty Images) Link copiedShareShare articleIt is Super Rugby Pacific's equivalent of a Mission: Impossible film plot line. If the Brumbies and Reds are to keep their respective seasons alive, they must create history by becoming the first Australian teams to win a final in New Zealand since Super Rugby's professional era began in 1996. As it stands, Australian franchises have a combined 0-21 win-loss record when facing New Zealand opponents in play-off matches across the Tasman. The Brumbies meet the top-ranked Hurricanes in Wellington on Friday night, while the Reds play the second-placed Chiefs on their home deck in Hamilton the following evening. New Zealand is a daunting road trip at the best of times, let alone in a sudden-death final. But only last week, the Brumbies were a chance of avoiding the scenario in the opening week of the play-offs. At the beginning of the final round of the regular season, the Brumbies knew they could finish as high as third on the standings. A top-three finish would have guaranteed a home qualifying final, although they needed to secure a bonus-point win over Moana Pasifika and rely on other results to go their way. Once the full-time whistle was blown in their 21-19 loss to Moana at Canberra Stadium on Saturday afternoon, however, the Brumbies found themselves sitting in sixth place. The Brumbies could not stop Moana Pasifika at Canberra Stadium. (Getty Images: Mark Nolan) A defeat to the Hurricanes, who have not lost at home this season, will end the Brumbies' campaign. The Brumbies only have themselves to blame for being on the cusp of elimination as they lost matches they were expected to win, highlighted by the 3-4 win-loss return they posted at Canberra Stadium. To the credit of the Brumbies, they did win two of the three matches they played in New Zealand, including a 50-24 victory over the defending champion Crusaders. But the one loss they registered was against the Hurricanes, who convincingly won 45-12 when the two sides met in Christchurch as part of Super Round. Sensibly, Brumbies coach Stephen Larkham instructed his players to "flush" out the disappointment of the Moana result as quickly as possible. But there were lessons to take away from the shock defeat, with Brumbies fullback Tom Wright telling Stan Sport his side's physicality was "not up to scratch". If the Brumbies are any hope of defeating the Hurricanes, they must dominate the collisions on both sides of the ball. They will be punished if they allow the Hurricanes to win the physical contest. Larkham cited the Brumbies' misfiring line-out against Moana among the reasons for the defeat, with the home side losing five of their 15 throws. Their line-out also let them down when they lost to the Hurricanes in April. Larkham said the set-piece would be worked upon at training, with the Brumbies mindful they cannot give the Hurricanes any advantage. When the Reds met the Chiefs in round 13 at Lang Park, they valiantly pushed last year's runner-up in a 31-21 loss. Honourable defeats mean little, though, and the Reds do not need reminding of how tough it is to beat the Chiefs, or any New Zealand team, in the play-offs. They lost to the Waikato-based franchise in the opening week of the finals in 2023 and 2024, and suffered the same fate against the Crusaders in Christchurch twice during the past five seasons. It is no surprise Reds skipper Fraser McReight referred to a "hoodoo" earlier this week when chatting to reporters about his side's finals record in New Zealand. The Reds lost to the Chiefs when they faced off earlier this season. (Getty Images: Bradley Kanaris) The Reds, who finished fifth on the standings, enter the play-offs on the back of wins against Moana (33-31) and Fijian Drua (45-24), but neither performance could be described as an 80-minute effort. They coughed up a 21-5 lead in the Drua match to trail 24-21 early in the second half, prior to finishing with a flourish via four unanswered tries. The Chiefs will pounce if the Reds experience a similar lapse in concentration. Queensland Reds coach Les Kiss knows his side will be underdogs in this weekend's Super Rugby qualifying final, a match that could be his last with the club. Injury has struck the Reds ahead of Saturday night, with Hunter Paisami (knee) and Seru Uru (back) ruled out. Paisami and Josh Flook combined to be the best-performed Australian centre pairing during the regular season. Winger Filipo Daugunu is an able replacement for Paisami at inside centre, but the Reds are a more potent force when they both feature in the starting backline. Uru's attacking skills will be missed at blindside flanker, although the abrasive Joe Brial gives the Reds another primary line-out target alongside Josh Canham. Brial topped the competition for most line-out wins (61) this season. The Force's 31-25 triumph over the Waratahs in P

A humiliating stat suggests Brumbies, Reds face impossible finals mission

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