The Once And Future Fable #4

It does look good, actually. After the odds had dropped quite a bit, they’re looking good again, with a 60% chance of restoration by July 1 and 88% by July 31, in the wake of groundwork looking like it is being laid in various places: leo: BREAKING: Claude Code v2.1.190 introduces several string changes that hint at preparations for a Fable 5 return, with it being permanently included in subscriptions with weekly usage. The string “You’ve used your Fable 5 usage for this week” has been added, and “purchased separately from your plan” has been removed leo: UPDATE: Fable 5 has now reportedly also reappeared in Amazon Bedrock If the update is based purely on the above info I would treat the new odds as overconfident. These moves seem reasonable to make even if you have no confidence in the restoration, in order to be ready if that moment arrives. This also suggests a potential permanent quota for Fable for subscribers. Even a modest amount is a big game here, since even a modest allocation means you can use it for non-coding tasks or minor coding tasks within the subscription. With that on the horizon, it seems time to update our understanding of what has happened and is otherwise likely to happen, and how to think about all this. A Rather Terrible Policy Even if access is restored in the coming week as expected, this was a fiasco. Dean Ball and I both invite you to imagine this situation in reverse. Dean W. Ball: I invite you to imagine what various commentators and industry actors would have said if president Kamala Harris had export controlled grok indefinitely and for no disclosed reason. The chosen implementation was such a train wreck that not only did we piss off our allies and call into question the reliability of the entire ‘American AI stack,’ we also caused the NSA to lose access to Mythos. Hopefully no one reading this thinks the new AI executive order is meaningfully ‘voluntary.’ Jessica Tillipman illustrates that Federal procurement is one set of ways the