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Poll shows Lula and Bolsonaro tied before Brazil’s presidential election

Al Jazeera · May 16, 2026, 9:05 PM · Also reported by 2 other sources

Key takeaways

  • Right-wing challenger Flavio Bolsonaro faces new scrutiny over a film funding scandal, which could affect his race against incumbent Lula.
  • On Saturday, Datafolha, the polling firm for the Grupo Folha media conglomerate, released its latest numbers, tracking the candidates’ progress in the run-up to October’s generation election.
  • Nearly 2,004 responded to the latest survey, which asked them to identify whom they would vote for if Lula and Bolsonaro progressed to a run-off.

Why this matters: an international story with cross-border implications worth tracking.

Right-wing challenger Flavio Bolsonaro faces new scrutiny over a film funding scandal, which could affect his race against incumbent Lula.

xwhatsapp-strokecopylinkgoogle Add Al Jazeera on Googleinfo Senator Flavio Bolsonaro poses for a selfie as he attends a ceremony at military police headquarters in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, on May 15 [Pilar Olivares/Reuters]By Al Jazeera Staff Published On 16 May 202616 May 2026A new poll has reaffirmed the tight race for Brazil’s presidency this year, with both the left-wing incumbent Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and his right-wing challenger, Flavio Bolsonaro, tied in a head-to-head contest.

On Saturday, Datafolha, the polling firm for the Grupo Folha media conglomerate, released its latest numbers, tracking the candidates’ progress in the run-up to October’s generation election.

Article preview — originally published by Al Jazeera. Full story at the source.
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