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Democrats grasp for Senate seat in Florida, where Trump, GOP rule
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Democrats grasp for Senate seat in Florida, where Trump, GOP rule

The Hill · May 8, 2026, 10:00 AM

Key takeaways

  • In past midterm cycles, that would lay the groundwork for Democrats to feel optimistic about picking up a Senate seat in Florida, especially against a GOP incumbent in Sen.
  • Yet prognosticators are not giving the Democrats good odds, even with a candidate like Lt.
  • The non-partisan Cook Political Report rates the seat as safely Republican.

Why this matters: political developments that affect policy direction and public trust.

In past midterm cycles, that would lay the groundwork for Democrats to feel optimistic about picking up a Senate seat in Florida, especially against a GOP incumbent in Sen. Ashley Moody who was appointed to the role and is facing her first election test for the Senate.

Yet prognosticators are not giving the Democrats good odds, even with a candidate like Lt. Col Alexander Vindman, whose role in President Trump’s first impeachment made him a national figure and whose early fundraising has been strong.

The non-partisan Cook Political Report rates the seat as safely Republican. The University of Virginia s Sabato Crystal Ball has it a tick lower, at “likely Republican.”

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