Trees are burning, teams are burning out
I have spent 20 years in software development. I have never seen product teams work this hard, burn this many AI tokens, and deliver this little measurable value. Across the industry, big companies and startups alike are rebuilding how they make products. AI now drafts requirements, writes test frameworks, builds reference data, and ships code. Whether all that activity produces better products is, so far, unclear. Here is the uncomfortable part. Every token has a cost. Compute, energy, money, and attention. We are burning fuel at the back end and burning people at the front end. The trees are burning and the teams are burning out. The return on both is hard to find. FORGET THE MANDATE The instruction to “use AI to deliver customer value” is not a strategy. It is a mandate. At the 2026 Fast Company Impact Council Annual Meeting, one CEO told me, “No one mandated that we use the iPhone. We use it because it works.” No one, the CEO added, was ever rewarded for topping an iPhone leaderboard. Good product decisions have never come from mandates. They come from simple questions. Do customers need this? Will they pay for it? Can we build it, and is the value durable? What makes us the right team to build it? Will the result delight anyone? And the simplest question of all, the one teams now skip: Does this use case actually need AI? Those questions are being shelved in favor of AI-first features. Document summaries. Chat boxes. Just-in-time insights nobody asked for. Most are undifferentiated and forgettable. They are early experiments dressed up as strategy. They are not yet durable value, and they are not yet keeping a single customer from leaving. The data backs this up. MIT’s Project NANDA studied the state of AI in business in 2025 and found that 95% of enterprise generative AI pilots delivered no measurable impact on the bottom line. The authors were clear about the cause. It was rarely the model. It was the gap between the tool and the way real organizations actual