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Chance of a 'super' El Niño grows – and it's just around the corner
politics

Chance of a 'super' El Niño grows – and it's just around the corner

The Hill · May 14, 2026, 5:13 PM · Also reported by 2 other sources

Key takeaways

  • An updated forecast released by the National Weather Service on Thursday gave the climate phenomenon an 82% chance of taking over at some point between May and July.
  • As the year goes on, the odds of an El Ni o grow even higher.
  • As we wait for El Ni o to officially begin, anticipation is building that we may see what s called a super El Ni o.

Why this matters: political developments that affect policy direction and public trust.

An updated forecast released by the National Weather Service on Thursday gave the climate phenomenon an 82% chance of taking over at some point between May and July.

As the year goes on, the odds of an El Ni o grow even higher. National forecasters say there s a 96% chance of El Ni o lasting through the winter, the season when it typically reaches peak strength.

As we wait for El Ni o to officially begin, anticipation is building that we may see what s called a super El Ni o.

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