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China Could Win Taiwan Without Fighting
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China Could Win Taiwan Without Fighting

Foreign Affairs · Jun 22, 2026, 4:00 AM · Also reported by 1 other source

Key takeaways

  • RICHARD HAASS is President Emeritus of the Council on Foreign Relations, Senior Counselor at Centerview Partners, and the author of a weekly Substack newsletter, Home & Away.
  • DAVID SACKS is Fellow for Asia Studies at the Council on Foreign Relations and the author of the forthcoming book The Realist: Hans Morgenthau and the Purpose of American Power.
  • The governments of the United States and China both assert that theirs is the most important bilateral relationship in the world.

RICHARD HAASS is President Emeritus of the Council on Foreign Relations, Senior Counselor at Centerview Partners, and the author of a weekly Substack newsletter, Home & Away.

DAVID SACKS is Fellow for Asia Studies at the Council on Foreign Relations and the author of the forthcoming book The Realist: Hans Morgenthau and the Purpose of American Power.

The governments of the United States and China both assert that theirs is the most important bilateral relationship in the world. They also agree that the likeliest trigger for an armed conflict between them is Taiwan. In theory, then, it should come as a relief that U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping discussed Taiwan at length in Beijing last month and that the leaders emerged with a better understanding of each other’s positions.

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