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Doomsday Climate Scenarios Were Wrong. That Doesn’t Help Europe.
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Doomsday Climate Scenarios Were Wrong. That Doesn’t Help Europe.

Foreign Policy · Jun 30, 2026, 7:07 PM · Also reported by 1 other source

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  • To celebrate America’s 250th birthday, our entire site is completely unlocked this week only.
  • This year, climate research seemed to hit a rough patch.

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Welcome to FP Free Week. To celebrate America’s 250th birthday, our entire site is completely unlocked this week only. Enjoy the article.

This year, climate research seemed to hit a rough patch. Scientists preparing the next generation of global climate scenarios scrapped the most extreme pathway that had shaped years of academic research, financial risk analysis, media coverage, and advocacy. A prominent study estimating that climate change would cost the global economy $38 trillion per year by midcentury was retracted by the academic journal Nature, while a new study argued that meaningful estimates of climate change’s economic damages lie beyond our analytical capabilities, prompting a Wall Street Journal op-ed headlined “You Can’t Trust ‘Climate Economics.’”

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