The S&P 500 Is Up 8% So Far This Year. Here's What History Suggests Investors Do Right Now.
Key takeaways
- Since 1990, there have been 15 occasions where the index was up more than 5% by June 1.
- The index entered June 2026 up 7.7%, making it the 16th qualifier for this setup.
- In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia.
Since 1990, there have been 15 occasions where the index was up more than 5% by June 1. In 14 of those years, the S&P 500 was also up in the second half. The median second-half return in those years was 12.7%.
The index entered June 2026 up 7.7%, making it the 16th qualifier for this setup. The sharp decline on June 5 may have shaken investor confidence regarding where the market might go from here. But if you pull back the lens and look at total returns so far this year, positive momentum is still intact.
Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »