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Nearly 40% chances of stagflation by end of 2026, traders say
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- Chances the economy getting hit by stagflation, the bitter mix of high inflation and unemployment, have increased to nearly 40% from 11% in almost three months, according to Kalshi traders.
- The pessimistic forecast for the end of this year comes after the Bureau of Labor Statistics said Tuesday the consumer price index reached 3.8% in April on a year-on-year basis — the most since May 2023.
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Chances the economy getting hit by stagflation, the bitter mix of high inflation and unemployment, have increased to nearly 40% from 11% in almost three months, according to Kalshi traders.
The pessimistic forecast for the end of this year comes after the Bureau of Labor Statistics said Tuesday the consumer price index reached 3.8% in April on a year-on-year basis — the most since May 2023. Wholesale prices also had their biggest annual increase since 2022 last month.
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