Fuel Crisis: Situation Modeling Thread

We're in a slow-motion fuel crisis, already baked into the counterfactual petroleum supply gap. Even if the Iran War ended, immediately and completely and unambiguously, the fuel crisis would still be happening.How will humanity respond to this?Leaders, governments, corporations, individuals, and militaries are all notoriously hard to predict. This is the thread for trying anyway.(Note: This thread is about the petroleum supply disruption downstream of the Iran War, not the Iran War itself. oil production and distribution would not recover to prewar levels for months or years.)Discuss