Wealthy nations reap huge benefits from immigration, study finds
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Wealthy nations with the highest rate of immigration over the past 35 years reaped a large economic benefit, and many could still absorb more workers, according to research to be presented at a top European Central Bank conference next week. Political tensions over immigration have been on the rise in recent years as far-right, anti-immigrant parties have helped drive the issue to near the top of the political agenda while making headway in countries including the US, Germany and Britain. The study, which looked at data in dozens of rich countries in the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), said growth and productivity were both likely to have been boosted sharply by the influx of immigrants, most of whom were highly skilled, despite any political claims to the contrary. “Receiving countries’ labour productivity grew significantly during and after periods of higher immigration rates,” said the paper, authored by University of California, Davis professor Giovanni Peri. “The predictive coefficients are often significant, economically large and a significant portion of such growth in GDP per worker is realised through strong growth in investments,” the paper to be presented at the ECB Forum on Central Banking in Sintra said. Productivity gains The total number of immigrants arriving in OECD countries from outside the bloc increased to about 100 million in 2024 from about 25 million in 1990, while native population growth turned negative in many countries. Peri and his co-authors found that an increase of immigrants equal to 1 per cent of a country’s population is associated with an increase in growth of GDP per worker, a measure of productivity, of 1.2pc within five years and 1.9pc over 10 years. The findings are especially relevant for the European Union, where the natural change of population has been negative since 2015 and the drop accelerated after the Covid-19 pandemic. Travellers arrive at John F Kennedy International Airport in New Yor