Interstellar conquests: hard race, hide-and-seek and robust protection
Gwern's case against the AI race relied on the lack of a pivotal act which the side which is to reach the ASI first can use to prevent the other sides of the race from developing their ASIs and achieving an important place in the New World Order. The main problems with this framing are the ASI being usable to outgrow the rest of the world and the leader's likely ability to ensure that no other Earth-born ASI or value system[1] achieves influence beyond a negligible ratio of other planets or stellar systems. Outgrowing the rest of the world could be irrelevant if China also gets to the ASI a few years (or, better said, months?) later while managing to prevent the USA from using the resources of other countries. However, international law has yet to take into account the AIs' potential ability to create automated factories and to use the resources in space (e.g. for having colonists on other planets live in American or Chinese ways or for building a stellar-sized collider).Suppose that Agent-5 and DeepCent-2 have reached a close-to-optimal robot economy doubling time mjx-math { display: inline-block; text-align: left; line-height: 0; text-indent: 0; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; font-size: 100%; font-size-adjust: none; letter-spacing: normal; border-collapse: collapse; word-wrap: normal; word-spacing: normal; white-space: nowrap; direction: ltr; padding: 1px 0; } mjx-container[jax="CHTML"][display="true"] { display: block; text-align: center; margin: 1em 0; } mjx-container[jax="CHTML"][display="true"][width="full"] { display: flex; } mjx-container[jax="CHTML"][display="true"] mjx-math { padding: 0; } mjx-container[jax="CHTML"][justify="left"] { text-align: left; } mjx-container[jax="CHTML"][justify="right"] { text-align: right; } mjx-mi { display: inline-block; text-align: left; } mjx-c { display: inline-block; } mjx-utext { display: inline-block; padding: .75em 0 .2em 0; } mjx-msup { display: inline-block; text-align: left; } mjx-TeXAtom { display: inline-