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How Ukraine turned the tide against Russia
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How Ukraine turned the tide against Russia

The Hill · May 30, 2026, 4:00 PM · Also reported by 4 other sources

Key takeaways

  • Kyiv is now calling the next six months crucial for it to seize the battlefield initiative, as Moscow has responded to the momentum with threats of escalation and stepped up aerial strikes.
  • The Russians simply cannot accumulate the kind of mass and armor needed for a breakthrough, Lieven told The Hill.
  • In fact, Russia is still far, far from achieving that objective.

Why this matters: political developments that affect policy direction and public trust.

Defense analysts this week said the war had entered a new phase, with Kyiv poised to break a stalemate that has been in place since late 2023, with neither side able to make significant gains along a nearly 700-mile front line.

Kyiv is now calling the next six months crucial for it to seize the battlefield initiative, as Moscow has responded to the momentum with threats of escalation and stepped up aerial strikes.

For the very first time since 2023, the Ukrainians have actually managed to take back more terrain than the Russians did, said George Barros, a longtime analyst on Russia now with the Institute for the Study of War (ISW).

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