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Talarico leads Paxton by 3 points in Texas governor's race post-runoff poll
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Talarico leads Paxton by 3 points in Texas governor's race post-runoff poll

The Hill · May 29, 2026, 10:49 PM · Also reported by 2 other sources

Key takeaways

  • Forty-seven percent of likely general election voters in the state backed state Rep.
  • The survey was conducted after the Republican primary runoff contest on Tuesday, in which incumbent Sen.
  • The latest poll follows a decision from the Cook Political Report, a nonpartisan election handicapper, to adjust its rating of this race from likely Republican to lean Republican following Paxton s win.

Why this matters: political developments that affect policy direction and public trust.

Forty-seven percent of likely general election voters in the state backed state Rep. James Talarico (D) in the poll from Texas Public Opinion Research, compared to 44 percent for Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton (R).

The survey was conducted after the Republican primary runoff contest on Tuesday, in which incumbent Sen. John Cornyn lost to Paxton, who had been endorsed by President Trump.

The latest poll follows a decision from the Cook Political Report, a nonpartisan election handicapper, to adjust its rating of this race from likely Republican to lean Republican following Paxton s win.

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