Trump looms large over Brazil's presidential election

Subscribed with another email? Logout and Login with that one. Account subscription benefits alongside Premium Stories, Editorials, Opinions and more. Unlock these with Subscription The View From India Looking at World Affairs from the Indian perspective. First Day First Show News and reviews from the world of cinema and streaming. Today's Cache Your download of the top 5 technology stories of the day. Science For All The weekly newsletter from science writers takes the jargon out of science and puts the fun in! Data Point Decoding the headlines with facts, figures, and numbers THEdge At the cutting edge of education and careers Health Matters Ramya Kannan writes to you on getting to good health, and staying there Gender Agenda Stories from beyond the binary. The Hindu On Books Books of the week, reviews, excerpts, new titles and features. Published - June 09, 2026 11:22 am IST - Sao Paulo U.S. President Donald Trump. File | Photo Credit: Reuters U.S. President Donald Trump's sometimes bombastic stance towards Brazil has placed him at the center of debate ahead of the country's tightly fought presidential elections in October. Also read | Trump administration proposes 25% tariff to punish Brazil over trade practices Given Mr. Trump's track record of throwing his weight behind his Latin American allies — like Argentine leader Javier Milei, Colombia's presidential hopeful Abelardo de la Espriella, and Nasry Asfura in Honduras, to name but a few — a similar intervention in Brazil appears likely. "It can be expected that Brazil will also be the target of a U.S. attempt to influence the elections," given Mr. Trump's past "partisan interventionism," according to Oliver Stuenkel, a professor at the Getulio Vargas Foundation. However, the U.S. leader's influence could be less clear-cut this time around. While celebrating his "excellent chemistry" with leftist President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, who is seeking reelection, Mr. Trump has also called candidate Flavio Bolsonaro, the son of former far-right president Jair Bolsonaro, a "smart young man who loves his country." Both have visited the White House in recent weeks. Mr. Lula, who has accused Mr. Trump of behaving like an "emperor," praised their solid rapport after the pair's meeting in May. But within days of Mr. Bolsonaro's visit the same month, Mr. Trump endorsed a cause celebre of Brazil's political right by designating the country's two largest drug cartels as terrorist organizations. He also announced possible tariff hikes on Brazilian products, much to the displeasure of the Lula administration. With polls currently projecting a tight second round between Mr. Lula and Mr. Bolsonaro, the right-wing camp is adamant that victory requires a healthy relationship with Washington. Mr. Bolsonaro took to social media to celebrate his own role in getting Mr. Trump to designate the so-called Red Command (CV) and First Capital Command (PCC) crime groups as terrorist organizations. "On a trip as a pre-candidate, we did more for Brazil and the safety of Brazilians than the Workers' Party and Mr. Lula did in 17 years in office," he boasted. Tens of millions of Brazilians living in working-class areas are highly concerned by organized crime and the violence it generates. "The U.S. measure benefits Flavio and wears down Lula, who has always been against it," pro-Bolsonaro lawmaker Sostenes Cavalcante told AFP. Cavalcante views the American leader as a "decisive factor" in the campaign, but said the Trump card must be used prudently. "We must be very careful, because he has a positive side that benefits us but also a high disapproval rating," he said, alluding to polls showing that Brazilians are divided over the U.S. president. Despite enormous ideological differences, Mr. Lula has managed to keep Mr. Trump on his side — but only sometimes. Washington's decision to slap sky-high tariffs on Brazil in 2025 as retaliation for convicting Jair Bolsonaro of plotting a coup marked a sour patch in the pair's relations. Most of those tariffs have since disappeared, but the recent proposal to impose 25% tariffs on some Brazilian products for alleged unfair trade practices has once again rankled Brasilia. Mr. Lula blamed the increased tariffs on Mr. Bolsonaro's whisperings in Washington, calling the right-wing candidate a "traitor" to his own export-reliant country. Although Mr. Bolsonaro denies the allegation, "the tariffs canceled out the advantage Flavio had gained from the U.S. decision regarding the PCC and the CV," said Ms. Stuenkel. Mr. Lula is attempting to negotiate directly with Mr. Trump but says he is being blocked by U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio, a Cuban-American whom the leftist has called a "mortal enemy" of Latin America. Nevertheless, "the Trump-Lula channel is the best thing" the U.S.-Brazil relationship currently has, Bruna Santos, Brazil director at the Inter-American Dialogue think tank, told AFP. "Their last meeting

Trump looms large over Brazil's presidential election

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Trump looms large over Brazil's presidential election

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