Trump Media Scales Back Plans for Its Own Prediction Market
Key takeaways
- Last year, the Trump Media and Technology Group announced Truth Predict, a partnership with the cryptocurrency company Crypto.com.
- At the time, the company detailed how Truth Social users would be able to convert the platform’s existing “Truth gem” currency into Cronos cryptocurrency tokens, and then “apply” them to Truth Predict trades.
- What is a “marketing and promotion collaboration,” exactly?
Why this matters: a development in AI with implications for how people work, create, and decide.
Photograph: Aaron Schwartz/Getty Images Comment Loader Save Story Save this story Comment Loader Save Story Save this story. The odds that the Trump family will launch a full-fledged prediction market product this year just plummeted.
Last year, the Trump Media and Technology Group announced Truth Predict, a partnership with the cryptocurrency company Crypto.com. The initial announcement touted Truth Predict as a “new product” that would allow Truth Social users to make trades on sports, inflation, elections, and more through an “embedded” prediction market service. “For too long, global elites have closely controlled these markets—with Truth Predict, we’re democratizing information and empowering everyday Americans to harness the wisdom of the crowd, turning free speech into actionable foresight,” then-CEO Devin Nunes said in the October 2025 press release.
At the time, the company detailed how Truth Social users would be able to convert the platform’s existing “Truth gem” currency into Cronos cryptocurrency tokens, and then “apply” them to Truth Predict trades. Now, Trump Media is framing the project differently. In its latest public filing, the company indicated that the prediction market “remains in development,” but that its offering would be initially limited to a “marketing and promotion collaboration” with OG.com, the US-based prediction market platform that Crypto.com launched in February 2026.