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Ethiopia: From China’s Star Pupil To Africa’s Free Agent
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Ethiopia: From China’s Star Pupil To Africa’s Free Agent

Forbes · Jul 1, 2026, 3:02 PM

Key takeaways

  • Energy Ethiopia: From China’s Star Pupil To Africa’s Free Agent By Wesley Alexander Hill,
  • In recent decades, the United States, the Soviet Union, and later China each devoted extraordinary political capital toward shaping Ethiopia's trajectory.
  • For years, Ethiopia represented China’s most ambitious political and economic experiment outside Asia.

Energy Ethiopia: From China’s Star Pupil To Africa’s Free Agent By Wesley Alexander Hill,

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. Wesley Alexander Hill (何伟龙) is an Energy and Geoeconomics expert Follow Author Jul 01, 2026, 11:02am EDT--:-- / --:--This voice experience is generated by AI. Learn more.This voice experience is generated by AI. Learn more.The African Union Headquarters in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, was constructed at great expense with Chinese labor by Chinese firms. It is a telling showcase of Chinese influence and prestige in Ethiopia and Africa as a whole.AFP via Getty ImagesBellwethers for investment, regions or sectors that signal broader shifts, are invaluable for investors. There are few better bellwethers for investment in Sub-Saharan Africa than Ethiopia. Few countries combine Ethiopia’s scale, history, demographic weight, and developmental ambitions. It is rich in natural resources without becoming a classic rentier state. Its economy is broad enough that manufacturing, agriculture, services, mining, and technology all possess a stake in national success. With more than 135 million people, Addis Ababa increasingly makes decisions that reverberate far beyond the Horn of Africa.

Great powers have long recognized that reality. In recent decades, the United States, the Soviet Union, and later China each devoted extraordinary political capital toward shaping Ethiopia's trajectory. Their methods differed, yet each viewed the country as more than another African partner. They understood that success in Ethiopia often translated into influence across the continent. In accord with history, the next phases of African investment are beginning here.

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