Scoopfeeds — Intelligent news, curated.
business

Most prediction market contracts have low volume, leaving users exposed to volatility and bots

CNBC · Jul 2, 2026, 12:47 PM · Also reported by 2 other sources

Key takeaways

  • Livestream Menu Make Itselect USAINTLLivestream Search quotes, news & videos Livestream Watchlist SIGN INCreate free account Markets Business Investing Tech Politics Video Watchlist Investing Club PROLivestream Menu
  • Volume has exploded on prediction market platform Polymarket since its launch, with notable surges during the 2024 election and last fall.
  • A CNBC analysis found that about 70% of all closed markets on Polymarket saw under $10,000 in reported volume from 2021 to the end of May this year, according to Polymarket's Gamma API.

Livestream Menu Make Itselect USAINTLLivestream Search quotes, news & videos Livestream Watchlist SIGN INCreate free account Markets Business Investing Tech Politics Video Watchlist Investing Club PROLivestream Menu

Volume has exploded on prediction market platform Polymarket since its launch, with notable surges during the 2024 election and last fall. Yet the majority of closed individual markets on the site never surpassed $10,000 in reported volume.

A CNBC analysis found that about 70% of all closed markets on Polymarket saw under $10,000 in reported volume from 2021 to the end of May this year, according to Polymarket's Gamma API. The Gamma API records notional volume on both sides of the trade.

Article preview — originally published by CNBC. Full story at the source.
Read full story on CNBC → More top stories

Also covered by

Aggregated and edited by the Scoop newsroom. We surface news from CNBC alongside other reporting so you can compare coverage in one place. Editorial policy · Corrections · About Scoop