Is It a Super El Niño Year? It Could Turn the World’s Weather Upside Down
Key takeaways
- On Thursday, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration declared the semi-annual climate phenomenon has arrived.
- Prediction markets aren’t the only places with a lot riding on El Niño.
- There are a handful of ways to measure El Niño, but NOAA’s threshold hinges on temperatures being 1F (0.5C) above average for a three-month period in a specific part of the Pacific.
Why this matters: a development in AI with implications for how people work, create, and decide.
Photograph: NOAA Satellites Comment Loader Save Story Save this story Comment Loader Save Story Save this story. The wait is finally over: El Niño has officially begun.
On Thursday, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration declared the semi-annual climate phenomenon has arrived. Congratulations if you took the pre-July 1 prediction on Kalshi.
Prediction markets aren’t the only places with a lot riding on El Niño. The phenomenon—characterized by hotter-than-normal waters in the eastern tropical Pacific—has a huge impact on weather in nearly every corner of the globe. And with this year’s iteration projected to be among the strongest ever recorded, the impacts are likely to be particularly acute.